![]() Report of the Third National Giant Panda Census (Science Publishing House, 2006). Conservation implications of drastic reductions in the smallest and most isolated populations of giant pandas. On the trend of population dynamics in giant panda based on age structure. Giant panda ( Ailuropoda melanoleuca) population dynamics and bamboo (subfamily Bambusoideae) life history: a structured population approach to examining carrying capacity when the prey are semelparous. On the use of matrices in certain population mathematics. The influence of dispersal on the metapopulation viability of Giant Panda ( Aliuropoda melanoleuca) in the Minshan Mountains. A preliminary analysis on population viability analysis for Giant Panda in Foping. Population viability analysis for the Giant Panda in Baoxing County, Sichuan. Population viability analysis of giant pandas in the Yele Nature Reserve. Population viability analysis computer model of giant panda population in Wuyipeng, Wolong Natural Reserve, China. VORTEX: a computer simulation model for population viability analysis. 3, 35–40 (Royal Zoological Society of New South Wales, 1991). in Conservation of Australia’s Forest Fauna (ed. Natural recovery and restoration in giant panda habitat after the Wenchuan earthquake. Habitat conservation redlines for the giant pandas in China. Proposed conservation landscape for giant pandas in the Minshan Mountains, China. ![]() Quantifying landscape linkages among giant panda subpopulations in regional scale conservation. Application of least-cost path model to identify a giant panda dispersal corridor network after the Wenchuan earthquake-case study of Wolong Nature Reserve in China. Effects of roads on giant panda distribution: a mountain range scale evaluation. Climate-change impacts on understorey bamboo species and giant pandas in China’s Qinling Mountains. Modeling impacts of climate change on giant panda habitat. Hopes and challenges for giant panda conservation under climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China. Conservation of giant panda habitat in South Minshan, China, after the May 2008 earthquake. Characterising the spatial distribution of giant pandas ( Ailuropoda melanoleuca) in fragmented forest landscapes. Range-wide analysis of wildlife habitat: implications for conservation. Habitat fragmentation and population extinction of birds. Relative effects of habitat loss and fragmentation on population extinction. Habitat fragmentation and its lasting impact on Earth’s ecosystems. The minimum area requirements (MAR) for giant panda: an empirical study. Jr The genetic rescue of the Florida panther. Patterns of genetic diversity in remaining giant panda populations. The next widespread bamboo flowering poses a massive risk to the giant panda. Climate change challenges the current conservation strategy for the giant panda. Reassessing the conservation status of the giant panda using remote sensing. Panda downlisted but not out of the woods. Scheme design and main result analysis of the fourth national survey on giant pandas. Our study gives practical advice for conservation policies and management and has implications for the conservation of other species in the world that live in isolated, fragmented habitats. Although national parks will probably connect some fragmented habitats, 26 populations will be outside national park planning. Some 41 of them will face a risk >50% and 35 face a risk >90%. Under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 climate change scenario, the 33 populations will probably further divide into 56 populations. Of the 15 most at-risk populations, national parks can protect only 3. Results showed that 15 populations face a risk >90%, and for 3 other populations the risk is >50%. Furthermore, we consider the impact of the proposed Giant Panda National Park. ![]() We analysed the spatial pattern of their risk of extinction under current conditions and multiple climate change models. We used individual-based models to simulate time series of these small populations for 100 years. An estimated 259 animals live in 25 of these groups, ~14% of the total population. The Fourth National Giant Panda Census showed pandas living in 33 isolated populations. Additionally, climate change and plans for the Giant Panda National Park may influence (in opposing directions) the extinction risk for wild giant pandas. ![]() In addition to habitat loss and fragmentation, demographic processes-the vagaries of births, deaths and sex ratio fluctuations-pose substantial threats to wild giant panda populations.
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